Resources
Insights from our team on anticipatory intelligence, threat analysis, and the future of corporate intelligence.
Rachael Spanton
From Dots on a Map to Real Foresight
Charts, heatmaps, and incident maps are staples in any analyst's toolkit — but they don't tell us why things are happening. Without the why, you're not doing foresight. You're just summarising the past.
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How can you anticipate…a coup
After falling steadily from their 1960s peak and hitting historic lows between 2010 and 2019, coups have crept back into the headlines. Perfect foresight isn't possible — but tracking structural drivers, indicators, and catalysts is.
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How can you anticipate…violent crime
Crime is one of the most studied topics in social science. We know more about what drives violence between individuals than about terrorist attacks or coups. Yet that depth of knowledge is both a strength and a challenge.
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How can you anticipate…violent unrest
When the Arab Spring swept across North Africa and the Middle East, it seemed to many outsiders as though it had come from nowhere. Of course, it hadn't. For organisations operating in fragile environments, anticipating unrest is not optional.
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